AIC · squircle — Mei Lin

Thu, Jun 18 · 9:12

Weekly new-markets review is tomorrow 10:00 and I'm tapped out on net-new categories — we've shipped politics, sports, crypto and culture to death. What's actually worth launching for Q3?

Mei · 9:12

ML

✦

✦ squircle I won't guess — good market ideas come from unmet demand, not vibes. The signal we never look at: searches inside the app that return no market. Want me to mine this week's?

✦ PROPOSED ideation · grounded in demand

Mine this week's unfilled market searches for candidates

I'll cluster the searches that hit a dead end across 61k weekly traders, cross them against what Polymarket & Kalshi already cover, and check which books our market-makers have asked for. Then I'll bring back only categories with real demand behind them.

~ pulls Amplitude · Databricks · web · Salesforce

✓ Mined 9,500 unfilled searches → 4 candidate categories with real demand.

squircle · 9:12

Mine demand signals

Mei · 9:13

ML

✦

✦ squircle Four categories cleared the bar. One stands out on demand and clean resolution — the other three are real, just runners-up. Tap any to swap it in.

Unfilled searches

Momentum

Resolution

Competitor lane —

Concrete markets, resolution & risk

Also surfaced · tap to explore instead

⚠ Per-category —

✦ That's every category with real unmet demand this week — beyond these four I'd be guessing, and a guessed market is a dead market. The honest move: let demand tell us when there's a fifth.

✓ Developing: .

squircle · 9:13

Develop the idea

Mei · 9:15

ML

✦

✦ squircle Here's a launchable slate, sized for one event-driven launch. One thing needs a human before we commit — flagged.

✦ DRAFT SLATE

Resolution

Seed liquidity

Market-makers

⚠ Needs a call —

Confluence · New-Markets Review — Jun 19

Draft stays private to you until you share it to #new-markets.

✓ Added to the New-Markets Review brief — slate.

squircle · 9:15

Add to tomorrow's review brief

Mei · 9:16

ML

✦

✓

In the brief for 10:00 tomorrow

Confluence draft saved · Jira epic stub created · you're set for the review

✦ NEXT one move before the review

The only open question is the — and Rebecca needs lead time. Loop her in now so it's resolved before Aaron asks.

✓ That's a full review prepped from a blank slate. Nothing else needs you before 10:00 — I'll surface fresh demand clusters in time for next week's.

squircle · 9:16